Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Washington Wizards vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 4, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 9:56 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has attempted 16.7 shots from the field per game this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league.
Fred VanVleet has attempted 9.8 3-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the league.
Fred VanVleet has been on the court for 37.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 99th percentile.
The Wizards have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (85th percentile).
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court.
The matchup vs. Washington is a difficult one; when the Wizards are on their home court, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs this year (12.5).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Fred VanVleet will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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