Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Chicago Bulls · Feb 28, 2023

Updated Feb 28, 2023 11:41 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has posted 20.2 points per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- among the league leaders by this metric.
Fred VanVleet has attempted 9.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Fred VanVleet has tallied 37.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 99th percentile.
The Bulls have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 79th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 8th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home in terms of 3-point attempts.
The matchup against Chicago is a tough one for 3-point attempts; when the Bulls are away from home, the other team's starting PGs have totaled the 14th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (5.1).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

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