Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 2/1/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Utah Jazz vs Toronto Raptors · Feb 1, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-120/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has successfully made 3.8 treys per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season on the road.
Fred VanVleet has sunk a terrific 3.7 free throws per game this season, quite a bit more than his 2.9 mark last season.
Fred VanVleet has been on the court for 36.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 99th percentile.
The Toronto Raptors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Jazz have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games in their home city, which should lead to increased plays for the Raptors.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (92nd percentile).
The Jazz have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to opposing teams this year (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Jazz is a challenging one for 3-point attempts; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 2nd-least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.2).

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