Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 25, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has sunk 4.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season without the home court advantage.
Fred VanVleet has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 10.0% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year.
Fred VanVleet has tallied 36.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 99th percentile.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (which also lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
The Raptors have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games in their home stadium, which should increase opportunities for the Kings.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has accumulated 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (90th percentile).
The matchup against the Kings is a tough one; they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the league to their opposition over the last 25 games on their home court (118.2).
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the league this year.
The matchup against the Kings is a difficult one for shot attempts from the field; while at home, the other team's starting PFs have averaged the 2nd-least shot attempts per game in the league this year (10.2).

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