Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 1/19/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 19, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has attempted 11.4 threes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 2.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.
Fred VanVleet has sunk 4.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 more than he's converted from downtown in all games this season away from home.
Fred VanVleet has been on the court for 36.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 99th percentile.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which can also provide new chances for scoring and assists).
The Raptors have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA this year at home, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Timberwolves.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has averaged 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (90th percentile).
The Timberwolves have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to opposing teams this year (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves may be a hard one for getting to the free throw line; their opposition have attempted a measly 25.9 free throws per game this year playing at home (2nd-least in the league).
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year while playing on the road.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 7th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year when playing on the road.

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