Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 17, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has attempted 11.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 2.4 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road.
Fred VanVleet has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 11.0% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.
Fred VanVleet has tallied 36.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 99th percentile.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which can also create additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Bucks is a good one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted a monstrous 20.6 free throws per game this year (most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has averaged 2.9 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 7th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year while on the road.
Fred VanVleet will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

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