Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

New York Knicks vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 16, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has attempted 10.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.5 higher than he's attempted in all games this season on the road.
Fred VanVleet has converted 2.7 shots from downtown per game this year, placing him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the league.
Fred VanVleet has played 36.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 99th percentile.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Knicks is a good one for shots from the field; opposing teams have shot for the 2nd-highest field goal rate in the league this year (45.2%).

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 87th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Knicks have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Toronto Raptors have been the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year on the road.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year away from their home court.
The Raptors have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Knicks.

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