Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 4, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 12.4% higher than he's made in all games this year.
Fred VanVleet has been on the court for 36.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 99th percentile.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also create new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Bucks may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; opposing teams have attempted a massive 21.2 free throws per game this year away from his home court (2nd-most in the NBA).
The matchup against the Bucks is a good one for field goals; away from home, opposing squads have posted the 4th-highest Field Goal% in the league this year (46.3%).

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has attempted just 8.6 treys per game this year, quite a bit less than his 9.8 mark last year.
Fred VanVleet has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (85th percentile).
The Toronto Raptors have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA at home this year.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Bucks is a hard one for three-pointers; opposing starting PGs have totaled the 2nd-least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (1.6).

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