Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 1/2/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 2, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has averaged 36.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 99th percentile.
The Raptors have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to raise plays for the Pacers.
As a team, the Toronto Raptors have been great at getting to the free throw line: 8th-best in the NBA this year, tallying 24.9 free throw attempts per game.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has attempted a mere 8.4 three-point shots per game this season, quite a bit less than his 9.8 mark last season.
Fred VanVleet has made a measly 2.8 3-pointers per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 3.7 mark last year.
Fred VanVleet has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (84th percentile).
The Pacers have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Pacers is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing teams have attempted a measly 25.6 free throws per game with the home court advantage this year (4th-least in the league).

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