Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2025

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets · Mar 21, 2025

Updated Mar 22, 2025 2:59 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/-100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has made 3.3 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year while on the road.
Fred VanVleet has played 35.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 96th percentile.
Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 8.8 three attempts per game (most in the league) against the Heat, resulting in a strong matchup.
The Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Fred VanVleet comes in at the 80th percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 2.3 fouls per game when playing on the road this year.
In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the Houston Rockets's lackluster 34.5% rate of converted threes settles in as the 6th-lowest in the NBA this year.
The Rockets have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games as the visting team.
The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year, which should reduce possessions for the Rockets.
Fred VanVleet will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

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