Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2025

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Made 3 Point Shots

Houston Rockets vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 1, 2025

Updated Mar 2, 2025 3:29 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has converted 3.3 threes per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from three in all games this year.
Fred VanVleet has played 34.3 minutes per game at home this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The matchup against Sacramento is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Sacramento Kings are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PGs have shot for the 6th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (42.8%).
The Houston Rockets have played at the 7th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home.
The Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (87th percentile).
In terms of three-point shots, the Houston Rockets's unimpressive 12.2 converted threes per game playing at home ranks 3rd-fewest in the league this year.
The Kings have played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Rockets.

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