Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2024

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Made 3 Point Shots

Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat · Dec 29, 2024

Updated Dec 30, 2024 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-170/+140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has attempted 9.1 treys per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet places in the 90th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 33.7 minutes per game while playing at home this year.
Over the last 5 games, opposing starting PGs have averaged 8.8 3-point attempts per game (highest in the league) against the Heat, labeling this as a strong matchup.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets rank best in in the NBA with 14.4 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet slots into the 76th percentile for personal fouls, averaging an enormous 2.3 fouls per game this year.
With respect to 3-pointers, the Houston Rockets's unimpressive 32.2% rate of made threes measures as the 2nd-weakest in the league this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Houston Rockets.

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