Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2024

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Made 3 Point Shots

Charlotte Hornets vs Houston Rockets · Dec 23, 2024

Updated Dec 23, 2024 11:46 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has attempted 7.7 three-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the league.
Fred VanVleet has been on the court for 35.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 95th percentile.
The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has made a mere 28.6% of his 3-point shots this year, significantly lower than his 37.8 rate last year.
With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Rockets's poor 31.8% rate of drained threes rates 2nd-weakest in the league over the last 25 games.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 27.9% on 3-pointers (4th-weakest in the NBA) against the Hornets, making this a hard matchup.
The Rockets will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from facing the most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Hornets).
Fred VanVleet will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to reduce stat production across the board.

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