Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/26/2024

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Made 3 Point Shots

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets · Nov 26, 2024

Updated Nov 27, 2024 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -190 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has attempted 6.9 3-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 90th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Fred VanVleet has averaged 33.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 87th percentile.
The quickest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets.
The Houston Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

As it relates to three-point attempts, the 4th-least aggressive team in the league when playing on the road over the last 5 games has been the Rockets.
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting PGs have totaled the least three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 15 games (4.7).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 7th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Rockets.
Fred VanVleet will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to worsen player production across the board.

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