Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 10/28/2024

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Made 3 Point Shots

San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets · Oct 28, 2024

Updated Oct 29, 2024 12:00 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-190/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -182 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -190.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has attempted 8.1 3-point shots per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Fred VanVleet has played 36.8 minutes per game since the start of last season, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 99th percentile.
The matchup against the Spurs is a strong one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting PGs have shot for the 5th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (40.4%).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league since the start of last season, which ought to boost opportunities for the Houston Rockets.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out 6th-best in in the league with 11.6 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Fred VanVleet rates in the 87th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a whopping 2.5 fouls per game since the start of last season.
When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Rockets's feeble 33.2% rate of sunk threes while playing away from home rates weakest in the league since the start of last season.
Fred VanVleet ought to suffer a drop-off in performance across the board considering playing away from home in this matchup.

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