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Fred VanVleet

Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 4/5/2024

Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat

Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-180/+140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Fred VanVleet has sunk 3.7 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.6 more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year at home.

Fred VanVleet has averaged 35.4 minutes per game at home this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

The matchup against the Heat is a favorable one for three-point attempts; opposing starting PGs have averaged the most three attempts per game in the league over the last 5 games (8.8).

The 8th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Houston Rockets.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Fred VanVleet has averaged 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's averaged overall this year.

In regard to three-point shots, the Rockets's feeble 31.8% rate of drained threes comes in as the 5th-lowest in the league over the last 5 games.

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home city this year, which should lead to decreased plays for the Rockets.

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