Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/4/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Made 3 Point Shots

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets · Feb 4, 2024

Updated Feb 4, 2024 11:48 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -137 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has attempted 7.7 treys per game this year, putting him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league.
Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet measures in the 99th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 36.9 minutes per game this year.
The Rockets have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Rockets rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 25 games, their opposition has secured 9.1 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-fewest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate added chances for offense).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet lands in the 75th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 2.3 fouls per game this year.
As it relates to three-pointers, the Houston Rockets's unimpressive 32.1% rate of converted threes when playing on the road comes in as the fewest in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a tough one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting PGs have tallied the 15th-least three attempts per game in the league over the last 15 games (4.7).
The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Houston Rockets.
Fred VanVleet will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally reduces stat production across the board.