Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Made 3 Point Shots

Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets · Jan 13, 2024

Updated Jan 14, 2024 3:28 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-164/+128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -148 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet registers in the 75th percentile for three-point performance while playing on the road with a an excellent 38.6% rate this year.
Fred VanVleet has attempted 10.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet comes in at the 100th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 37.6 minutes per game this year.
The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a good one for three-pointers; the other team's starting PGs have averaged the 30th-most treys per game in the NBA this year (3.0).
The Houston Rockets will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 10th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Boston Celtics).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet rates in the 79th percentile for technical fouls, compiling an enormous 0.1 fouls per game this year.
The Houston Rockets check in as the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA on the road this year.
The Rockets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA as the away team this year.
The Boston Celtics have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Fred VanVleet will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually worsens stat production in all facets of the game.