Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2024

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets · Jan 8, 2024

Updated Jan 9, 2024 12:24 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-184/+133).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -169 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -184.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has made 4.4 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's converted in all games this year.
Among all players in the league, Fred VanVleet comes in at the 100th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 37.2 minutes per game this year.
Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 8.8 3-point attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Heat, resulting in a favorable matchup.
The Rockets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, their opposition has come down with 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) against the Heat (reducing possessions that could otherwise spark further chances for offense).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet comes in at the 77th percentile for technical fouls, averaging a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game this year.
The Houston Rockets have been the 4th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league when playing on the road this year.
The 4th-slowest tempo away team in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Rockets.
Fred VanVleet will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decrease player production across the board.

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