Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/22/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Made 3 Point Shots

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 22, 2023

Updated Dec 23, 2023 12:55 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-185/+145).

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last season's 5.8 mark, Fred VanVleet's bricked 3-point shots have declined this season to 4.8 per game.
Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet measures in the 100th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 38.5 minutes per game this year.
With respect to treys, the Houston Rockets's fantastic 38.9% rate of converted threes while playing at home rates 8th-best in the NBA this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have averaged 2.4 three-pointers per game (22nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, labeling this as a positive matchup.
The Rockets will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-fastest pace road team in the league this year (the Dallas Mavericks).

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA while at home this year.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Rockets grade out 7thworst in in the NBA on their home court with only 9.8 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 25 games, their opposition has captured 11.8 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the Mavericks (saving possessions that can generate bonus chances for offense).

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