Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/20/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Made 3 Point Shots

Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 20, 2023

Updated Dec 21, 2023 12:53 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has attempted 7.9 3-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile among all players in the league.
Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet places in the 99th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 36.5 minutes per game while on his home court this year.
When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Houston Rockets's stellar 39.2% rate of drained threes as the home team places 6th-best in the league over the last 11 games.
This year, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 2.8 threes per game (26th-most in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, creating a favorable matchup.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should raise opportunities for the Rockets.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's committed overall this season.
The 4th-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.
The Rockets have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
When playing away from home, the Atlanta Hawks have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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