Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Made 3 Point Shots

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors · Apr 5, 2023

Updated Apr 6, 2023 12:26 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-158/+124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -154 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -158.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has attempted 8.8 3-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 99th percentile among all players in the league.
Fred VanVleet has been on the court for 36.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 99th percentile.
The matchup against the Celtics is a good one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the 26th-most 3-pointers per game in the league this year (2.3).
The Celtics have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to increased plays for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (90th percentile).
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road.
Fred VanVleet will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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