Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Made 3 Point Shots

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat · Mar 28, 2023

Updated Mar 28, 2023 11:33 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+108/-138).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has attempted 8.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking in the 98th percentile out of all players in the league.
Fred VanVleet has averaged 35.4 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The matchup against Miami is a strong one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting PGs have averaged the 27th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 5 games when the Heat are on the road (7.3).
The Toronto Raptors rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.
The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Raptors.

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