Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Made 3 Point Shots

Toronto Raptors vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 22, 2023

Updated Mar 22, 2023 11:26 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+130/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has successfully made 3.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's made over the course of the year.
Fred VanVleet has played 35.4 minutes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The Pacers have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Fred VanVleet will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to increases stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has accumulated 2.7 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while at home this year.
The matchup vs. Indiana is a hard one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting PGs have averaged the 13th-least three attempts per game in the league over the last 20 games when the Pacers are away from home (5.0).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Pacers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).