Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Made 3 Point Shots

Toronto Raptors vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 16, 2023

Updated Mar 16, 2023 10:01 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+130/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has successfully made 37.5% of his attempts from downtown while at home this year, ranking in the 79th percentile among all players in the league.
Fred VanVleet has attempted 9.3 3-point shots per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league.
Fred VanVleet has tallied 37.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 99th percentile.
The matchup against the Thunder is a strong one for attempts from downtown; opposing starting PGs have totaled the 28th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.4).
The Thunder have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Raptors.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 79th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 8th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home when it comes to three-point attempts.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
On the road, the Thunder have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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