Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Made 3 Point Shots

Toronto Raptors vs Detroit Pistons · Feb 12, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-109/-119).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -172 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has averaged 35.5 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 97th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 7th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Pistons have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to raise plays for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Fred VanVleet will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city tends to increases player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has attempted a mere 8.6 three-point shots per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 9.8 rate last year.
Fred VanVleet has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The matchup against Killian Hayes is a hard one for shots from downtown; when Hayes is away from his home court and matched up against fellow starting PGs this year, they have successfully made just 30.5% of their treys (13th percentile).

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