Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Made 3 Point Shots

Toronto Raptors vs Utah Jazz · Feb 10, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+130/-166).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -162 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -166.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has played 35.5 minutes per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The matchup against Collin Sexton is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when Sexton is away from his home court opposing starting PGs this year, they have made a monstrous 43.3% of their treys (93rd percentile).
The Jazz have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home city, which ought to raise possessions for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Fred VanVleet will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to increases player performance across the board.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has attempted a measly 8.6 shots from downtown per game this year, significantly less than his 9.8 mark last year.
Fred VanVleet has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 4th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

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