Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/8/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Made 3 Point Shots

Toronto Raptors vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 8, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+114/-146).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -146.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has tallied 35.5 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Spurs have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which ought to lead to more plays for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
On the road, the Spurs have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has attempted a mere 8.7 3-point shots per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 9.8 rate last year.
Fred VanVleet has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games while at home as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc.
The matchup vs. San Antonio is a difficult one for attempts from downtown; when the Spurs are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.8).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league on their home court this year.

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