Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Made 3 Point Shots

Sacramento Kings vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 25, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-188/+146).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -172 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +146.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has attempted 10.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.8 more than he's attempted in all games this season on the road.
Fred VanVleet has sunk 4.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season without the home court advantage.
Fred VanVleet has tallied 36.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 99th percentile.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (which also lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
The Raptors have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games in their home stadium, which should increase opportunities for the Kings.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has accumulated 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (90th percentile).
The matchup against the Kings is a tough one for threes; their opposition have shot for the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the league over the last 25 games while playing at home (37.7%).
The Toronto Raptors have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year as it relates to treys.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Kings is a difficult one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 2nd-least 3-point shots per game in the league over the last 25 games (1.2).

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