Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/19/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Made 3 Point Shots

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 19, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+135/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has attempted 11.4 threes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 2.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.
Fred VanVleet has sunk 4.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 more than he's converted from downtown in all games this season away from home.
Fred VanVleet has been on the court for 36.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 99th percentile.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which can also provide new chances for scoring and assists).
The Raptors have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA this year at home, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Timberwolves.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has averaged 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (90th percentile).
The Timberwolves have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to opposing teams this year (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Toronto Raptors have been the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year while on the road.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 7th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year when playing on the road.
Fred VanVleet will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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