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Fred VanVleet

Fred VanVleet Assists
Player Prop - 3/21/2025

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets

 
 
 
Fred VanVleet Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+126/-162).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -146 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -162.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Fred VanVleet has played 35.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 96th percentile.
  • The Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Fred VanVleet has compiled a mere 5.7 assists per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 8.1 assists per game last year.
  • Out of all players in the league, Fred VanVleet comes in at the 80th percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 2.3 fouls per game when playing on the road this year.
  • The Rockets have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games as the visting team.
  • The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year, which should reduce possessions for the Rockets.
  • Fred VanVleet will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

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