Fred VanVleet Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2025

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Assists

Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics · Jan 3, 2025

Updated Jan 4, 2025 12:59 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has tallied 6.4 assists per game this year at home, putting him among the best in the NBA by this standard over this stretch of games: 95th percentile.
Out of all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet slots into the 93rd percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 34.5 minutes per game at home this year.
The 9th-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Rockets.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 9th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to increased possessions for the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Fred VanVleet comes in at the 80th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 2.4 fouls per game this year.

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