Fred VanVleet Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/1/2025

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Assists

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 1, 2025

Updated Jan 2, 2025 4:00 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has averaged 6.3 assists per game this year at home, putting him among the league's hottest in this category over this stretch: 95th percentile.
Fred VanVleet has played 34.0 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The 8th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Rockets.
The Rockets will likely get a boost in plays in this game from squaring off against the 7th-fastest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
The Houston Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Fred VanVleet rates in the 79th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 2.4 fouls per game this year.

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