Fred VanVleet Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/22/2024

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Houston Rockets · Dec 22, 2024

Updated Dec 22, 2024 10:59 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+145/-190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -190.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has put up 5.8 assists per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this metric.
Fred VanVleet has played 35.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 95th percentile.
The Rockets have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Raptors have played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games at home, which should lead to increased plays for the Rockets.
The Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally lowers player production across the board.

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