Fred VanVleet Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2024

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Assists

Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat · Apr 5, 2024

Updated Apr 6, 2024 12:37 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has averaged a whopping 8.1 assists per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 7.2 assists per game last year.
Fred VanVleet has averaged 35.4 minutes per game at home this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The 8th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Houston Rockets.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
Fred VanVleet will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally raises stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has averaged 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's averaged overall this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home city this year, which should lead to decreased plays for the Rockets.

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