Fred VanVleet Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2024

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Assists

Portland Trail Blazers vs Houston Rockets · Mar 8, 2024

Updated Mar 9, 2024 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-113/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has tallied a whopping 8.0 assists per game this year, significantly more than his 7.2 assists per game last year.
Fred VanVleet has averaged 36.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 99th percentile.
The 2nd-fastest tempo away team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Houston Rockets.
The Houston Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (80th percentile).
The Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Houston Rockets.
Fred VanVleet will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to reduce stat production across the board.

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