Fred VanVleet Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2024

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Assists

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 5, 2024

Updated Mar 6, 2024 1:17 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has totaled 7.9 assists per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league in this category: 99th percentile.
Fred VanVleet has tallied 35.9 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The 3rd-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Houston Rockets.
The Houston Rockets will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the San Antonio Spurs).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet ranks in the 76th percentile for technical fouls, compiling an enormous 0.0 fouls per game while at home this year.
While on the road, the Spurs have allowed the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.3) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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