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Fred VanVleet

Fred VanVleet Assists
Player Prop - 2/4/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets

Fred VanVleet Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Fred VanVleet has posted 8.9 assists per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 100th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this standard.

Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet measures in the 99th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 36.9 minutes per game this year.

The Rockets have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Rockets rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 25 games, their opposition has secured 9.1 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-fewest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate added chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet lands in the 75th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 2.3 fouls per game this year.

The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Houston Rockets.

Fred VanVleet will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally reduces stat production across the board.

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