Fred VanVleet Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2024

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Assists

Detroit Pistons vs Houston Rockets · Jan 12, 2024

Updated Jan 13, 2024 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-103/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has compiled 9.3 assists per game away from home this year, placing him in the 100th percentile -- among the league leaders by this standard.
Fred VanVleet has played 37.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 100th percentile.
The Pistons have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should raise plays for the Rockets.
The Rockets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Pistons have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Fred VanVleet lands in the 79th percentile for technical fouls, registering a colossal 0.1 fouls per game this year.
The 4th-slowest tempo road offense in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.
Fred VanVleet stands to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness across the board in light of playing on the visting team in this game.

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