Fred VanVleet Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2024

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Assists

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets · Jan 8, 2024

Updated Jan 8, 2024 11:27 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has tallied 9.4 assists per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 100th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA in this category.
Among all players in the league, Fred VanVleet comes in at the 100th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 37.2 minutes per game this year.
The Rockets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, their opposition has come down with 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) against the Heat (reducing possessions that could otherwise spark further chances for offense).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet comes in at the 77th percentile for technical fouls, averaging a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game this year.
The 4th-slowest tempo away team in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Rockets.
Fred VanVleet will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decrease player production across the board.

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