Fred VanVleet Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Assists

Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-157/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -133 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -157.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has posted a terrific 8.6 assists per game this season, a big improvement over his 7.2 assists per game last season.
Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet lands in the 97th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 35.9 minutes per game playing at home this year.
The 8th-speediest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Houston Rockets.
While playing away from home, the Minnesota Timberwolves have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Fred VanVleet will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home tends to increase stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease possessions for the Rockets.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Rockets grade out 10thworst in in the league with the home court advantage with a mere 9.9 offensive boards per game this year.

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