Fred VanVleet Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Assists

New Orleans Pelicans vs Houston Rockets · Dec 23, 2023

Updated Dec 24, 2023 12:03 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-129/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has averaged 10.0 assists per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 100th percentile -- among the league's best by this metric.
Among all players in the league, Fred VanVleet comes in at the 100th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 38.0 minutes per game this year.
The Rockets are expected to see a rise in plays today from squaring off against the 10th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 20 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling when it comes to getting T'ed up.
The 5th-most lethargic pace away offense in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Rockets grade out 9thworst in in the league with just 10.2 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 14 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have secured 12.0 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the Pelicans (retaining possessions that can result in bonus chances for offense).
Fred VanVleet is expected to see a decline in effectiveness for all stats on account of being on the road in this game.

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