Fred VanVleet Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/20/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Assists

Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 20, 2023

Updated Dec 21, 2023 1:18 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has compiled a whopping 8.8 assists per game this season, significantly more than his 7.2 assists per game last season.
Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet places in the 99th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 36.5 minutes per game while on his home court this year.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should raise opportunities for the Rockets.
Fred VanVleet is expected to see an increase in output in all facets of the game due to enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's committed overall this season.
The 4th-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.
The Rockets have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
When playing away from home, the Atlanta Hawks have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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