Fred VanVleet Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/18/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Assists

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Houston Rockets · Dec 18, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 11:48 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+110/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has compiled an impressive 8.4 assists per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 7.2 assists per game last year.
Fred VanVleet has played 37.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 100th percentile.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.
The 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Rockets.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Houston Rockets.
The Houston Rockets check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 25 games, the other team has come down with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (8th-most in the NBA) against the Cavaliers (lengthening possessions that can create added opportunities for offense).

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