Fred VanVleet Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/13/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Assists

Houston Rockets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 13, 2023

Updated Dec 14, 2023 1:08 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+106/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -133 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has averaged an impressive 8.5 assists per game this year, a significant increase from his 7.2 assists per game last year.
Out of all players in the league, Fred VanVleet ranks in the 98th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 35.9 minutes per game at home this year.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing squads have collected 10.0 offensive rebounds per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) against the Grizzlies (lessening possessions that could otherwise result in added opportunities for offense).
Fred VanVleet will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage generally raises player production across the board.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games when playing on the road, 0.1 higher than he's tallied overall this year on the road.
The 3rd-most lethargic tempo team in the league this year has been the Rockets.
The Rockets are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from being pitted against the 3rd-most lethargic pace away offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Grizzlies).
The Houston Rockets check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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