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Fred VanVleet

Fred VanVleet Assists
Player Prop - 12/11/2023

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs

Fred VanVleet Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Fred VanVleet has posted a terrific 8.7 assists per game this year, significantly more than his 7.2 assists per game last year.

Among all players in the league, Fred VanVleet comes in at the 98th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 35.6 minutes per game this year.

The Rockets will likely see an increase in possessions today from sharing the court with the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 10 games (the Spurs).

On their home court, the Spurs have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Fred VanVleet will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to increase player performance across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 3rd-slowest pace home team in the NBA this year has been the Rockets.

The Houston Rockets have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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