Fred VanVleet Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Assists

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets · Nov 24, 2023

Updated Nov 24, 2023 11:08 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -139 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has totaled a terrific 8.9 assists per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 7.2 assists per game last year.
Fred VanVleet has averaged 35.1 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
This year when they are on the road, the other team has grabbed 9.6 offensive rebounds per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets (losing possessions that could otherwise generate added opportunities for offense).
Fred VanVleet should get a boost in production in all facets of the game due to owning the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The Rockets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.
The Rockets are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-slowest pace team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).
The Rockets have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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