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Fred VanVleet

Fred VanVleet Assists
Player Prop - 11/24/2023

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Fred VanVleet Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -139 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Fred VanVleet has totaled a terrific 8.9 assists per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 7.2 assists per game last year.
  • Fred VanVleet has averaged 35.1 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
  • This year when they are on the road, the other team has grabbed 9.6 offensive rebounds per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets (losing possessions that could otherwise generate added opportunities for offense).
  • Fred VanVleet should get a boost in production in all facets of the game due to owning the home court advantage in this game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Fred VanVleet has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
  • The Rockets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.
  • The Rockets are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-slowest pace team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).
  • The Rockets have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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