Fred VanVleet Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Assists

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets · Nov 20, 2023

Updated Nov 21, 2023 2:42 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has totaled an impressive 10.8 assists per game this year, quite a bit more than his 7.2 assists per game last year.
Relative to last year's 36.3 mark, Fred VanVleet's playing time has surged this year to 39.0 minutes per game.
Fred VanVleet has averaged a lowly 1.8 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 2.8 fouls per game last year.
The Warriors have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which should increase opportunities for the Houston Rockets.

Favors Under

The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the NBA as the away team this year.
The Houston Rockets have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 7 games when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have snagged 10.9 offensive rebounds per game (7th-most in the league) against the Warriors (retaining possessions that can bring about more opportunities for offense).
Fred VanVleet will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to worsen player performance in all facets of the game.

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