Fred VanVleet Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Assists

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets · Nov 12, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 11:49 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-125/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has tallied an impressive 8.4 assists per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 7.2 assists per game last year.
Fred VanVleet has played 33.7 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
Fred VanVleet will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually increases player production for all stats.

Favors Under

The Rockets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league on the road this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the league this year, which should decrease plays for the Rockets.
The Rockets rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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