Fred VanVleet Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Assists

Houston Rockets vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 4, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 12:47 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has posted 7.2 assists per game when playing at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 97th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this metric.
Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet comes in at the 98th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 35.7 minutes per game on his home court since the start of last season.
The {OPP_TEAM} will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Kings).
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out 15thbest in in the league while playing at home with 13.2 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
While on their home court, the Sacramento Kings have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the NBA to opposing clubs since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game when playing at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 90th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The 7th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.

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